View Full Version : Contest Percentage Chances
username Points
Winning %
amitpatel_3001 311
20.57 azn1art 126
8.33 Johan 116
7.67 Case 81
5.36 kadhal 78
5.16 keith 64
4.23 clvezlys 53
3.51 Liam 40
2.65 humm 37
2.45 Scott 35
2.31 Mike 27
1.79 Tim 36
2.38
I knocked this up pretty quickly (so don't shoot me for errors) for the top 12, the right column is the percentile change of winning each time the raffle is drawn.
If anybody can tell me the equation for working out the percentage based on x drawings let me know and I'll update the spreadsheet.
clvezlys
08-20-2006, 09:42 AM
Equation to get the number of percents and you chance of wining?
(Your posts / (all posts-Al's posts since he's not participating-the 1st place winner's posts))*100
amitpatel_3001
08-20-2006, 10:14 AM
username Points
Winning %
amitpatel_3001 311
20.57 azn1art 126
8.33 Johan 116
7.67 Case 81
5.36 kadhal 78
5.16 keith 64
4.23 clvezlys 53
3.51 Liam 40
2.65 humm 37
2.45 Scott 35
2.31 Mike 27
1.79 Tim 36
2.38
I knocked this up pretty quickly (so don't shoot me for errors) for the top 12, the right column is the percentile change of winning each time the raffle is drawn.
If anybody can tell me the equation for working out the percentage based on x drawings let me know and I'll update the spreadsheet.
Good one there :)
BTW i dont see any percentage next to my name. any reasons?
Seems thats a mistake ;)
clvezlys
08-20-2006, 12:25 PM
Seems to me Al's been skipping too much school in his youth.
Seems to me Al's been skipping too much school in his youth.
ha
Percentages where there just the formating wasn't too good, so I'll try again:
http://coolest-gadgets.com/images/percent.gif
The percent takes into account everybodies points (bar mine as I'm exempt). The right column shows the percentage chance of winning when a draw is made. As we're doing at least 10 draws what I'd like to be able to calculate is the chance of winning 1 or more prizes. Any boffins out there?
clvezlys
08-20-2006, 01:32 PM
what do you mean 1 or more. There's a chance that one person will be able to win multiple prizes?
Cool.. I am glad that I am still a part of this wonderful contest. :)
That hasn't *officially* been decided or stated. Who ever has most points at the end of September chooses which prize they want (that is set in stone), after that all remaining prizes are raffled off. I'll probably do a poll to see what members think about limiting members to a max no. of prizes as I do think it would be better to spread the prizes out as much as possible.
Cool.. I am glad that I am still a part of this wonderful contest. :)
Everybody that has posted is part of it, I only listed the top 12. If anybody works out the totals they'll notice the precentages don't agree, that's because they are taking everybody into account.
clvezlys
08-20-2006, 01:52 PM
If anybody works out the totals they'll notice the precentages don't agree, that's because they are taking everybody into account....
...and because those numbers are old.
jacubilloro
08-20-2006, 01:53 PM
I think you should only be allowed to get 1 prize. That is the only way the gadgets will be spread all over the members
amitpatel_3001
08-20-2006, 03:01 PM
Hope you counted the link i gave via my blog, my referrals ;) and threads :D
so weres the real time chart :)
amitpatel_3001
08-20-2006, 09:56 PM
Working on that ;)
Iam not a free bird like u :p
free bird? bah screw that... you just need to do like 15 diffrent things at once like me... Its not hard just need lots of cafene and good music... :)
amitpatel_3001
08-20-2006, 09:59 PM
free bird? bah screw that... you just need to do like 15 diffrent things at once like me... Its not hard just need lots of cafene and good music... :)
Well i cant reply like you in 4-5 words in each post of mine ;)
So it does take time in doing every activity :D
See thats mostly because im logged into wow on my laptop pretending to be doing work while im waiting for a test render to finish... while im here BS'in :)
amitpatel_3001
08-20-2006, 10:03 PM
Though its bad when people claim others are doing mistakes, which i saw yesterday and now they repeat the same things themselves :(
It will happen no matter what... its like no matter how much you try to make things user friendly and easy to use they will all ways build a better idiot :)
whats going on here amit? whats this percentage all about?
That hasn't *officially* been decided or stated. Who ever has most points at the end of September chooses which prize they want (that is set in stone), after that all remaining prizes are raffled off. I'll probably do a poll to see what members think about limiting members to a max no. of prizes as I do think it would be better to spread the prizes out as much as possible.
Amit i want the laser so u need to stop posting so i can catch up :)
azn1art
08-20-2006, 10:25 PM
lol... Either way it's gonna be hard to pass amit...
amitpatel_3001
08-20-2006, 10:29 PM
Amit i want the laser so u need to stop posting so i can catch up :)
I dont take orders :cool: :cool:
lol... Either way it's gonna be hard to pass amit...
Well buddy you did try to pass me and iam sure you will ;)
Good luck
Amit
kadhal
08-20-2006, 10:38 PM
That hasn't *officially* been decided or stated. Who ever has most points at the end of September chooses which prize they want (that is set in stone), after that all remaining prizes are raffled off. I'll probably do a poll to see what members think about limiting members to a max no. of prizes as I do think it would be better to spread the prizes out as much as possible.
I would suggest the best thing would be maximum of one prize per person and the selected persons will choose their prize according to their points order.
I think i need to like start my DIY paintball gadget threads here now :)
quick Question whens this contest officialy end?
azn1art
08-21-2006, 01:03 AM
quick Question whens this contest officialy end?
End of September which would be the 30th.
So because my bday is the 3rd do i get extra points? :)
jacubilloro
08-21-2006, 09:08 AM
How about an extra gadget??? Sounds better...
depends on what the extra gadget is...
Giorgi
08-21-2006, 08:21 PM
Why i am not in the list?
Why i am not in the list?
I only did the top 12 as a snapshot, at the time you were not in the top 12. You may be now though I don't know without checking. I also need to tweak the SQL a bit to only include quality posts (as far as can be told programmatically).
azn1art
08-21-2006, 08:32 PM
Why i am not in the list?
The List is old..
I still think we need a real time PHP list that facotrs every thing in :)
Giorgi
08-21-2006, 10:16 PM
I hope I will be at least in the next list... there is somthn wrong with it
You know what... i dont care... I want the laser... who i gotta pay off...
the laser is coming to MY pocket
pft that will only happen if your hand delivering to my door step
dream on darling....im a lucky gal
you are specialy if you get to hand deliver it to me :)
jacubilloro
08-22-2006, 01:58 AM
Hehe...
Nice comeback... Let's see who has the lead at this moment...
Its:
CASE!
shhh im trying not to point that out... less people gunning for me the better
jacubilloro
08-22-2006, 02:04 AM
That's exactly what I want :)
Everyone aim for case! :D
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